**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 KL.
$1,662 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 KL.
$1,662 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
$83 KL.
No
12°C
$64 KL.
No
13°C
$30 KL.
No
14°C
$38 KL.
No
15°C
$73 KL.
No
16°C
$549 KL.
Yes
17°C
$75 KL.
No
18°C
$239 KL.
No
19°C
$119 KL.
No
20°C
$189 KL.
No
21°C or higher
$205 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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