Current model consensus for Qingdao on September 16 points to a daily maximum near 28–30°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which favors the closely bunched 30–32°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Stable high pressure supports strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, while the city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks a degree or two below inland guidance. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind direction explain the spread across 30–35°C bins; any increase in onshore flow or early afternoon cloud build-up would favor the lower side of that range. Updated short-range model runs and real-time surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for further market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
31°C 27%
34°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
39%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
22%
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
31°C 27%
34°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
26°C
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$0 KL.
12%
30°C
$5 KL.
22%
31°C
$13 KL.
27%
32°C
$29 KL.
34%
33°C
$0 KL.
39%
34°C
$0 KL.
25%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Qingdao on September 16 points to a daily maximum near 28–30°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which favors the closely bunched 30–32°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Stable high pressure supports strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, while the city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks a degree or two below inland guidance. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind direction explain the spread across 30–35°C bins; any increase in onshore flow or early afternoon cloud build-up would favor the lower side of that range. Updated short-range model runs and real-time surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Qingdao on September 16 points to a daily maximum near 28–30°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which favors the closely bunched 30–32°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Stable high pressure supports strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, while the city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks a degree or two below inland guidance. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind direction explain the spread across 30–35°C bins; any increase in onshore flow or early afternoon cloud build-up would favor the lower side of that range. Updated short-range model runs and real-time surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus for Qingdao on September 16 points to a daily maximum near 28–30°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which favors the closely bunched 30–32°C outcomes priced highest by traders. Stable high pressure supports strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, while the city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea introduces sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks a degree or two below inland guidance. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind direction explain the spread across 30–35°C bins; any increase in onshore flow or early afternoon cloud build-up would favor the lower side of that range. Updated short-range model runs and real-time surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for further market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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