Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 13 point to sunny conditions with southerly winds sustaining highs near 100°F, placing the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins in close contention at 38.5% and 34.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep temperatures well above the September climatological average of 90°F, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Minor differences between bins hinge on exact peak timing and local mixing; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 34%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 10%
$15,095 KL.
$15,095 KL.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 34%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 10%
$15,095 KL.
$15,095 KL.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 13 point to sunny conditions with southerly winds sustaining highs near 100°F, placing the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins in close contention at 38.5% and 34.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep temperatures well above the September climatological average of 90°F, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Minor differences between bins hinge on exact peak timing and local mixing; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp