The Hong Kong Observatory’s September 10 forecast shows a northeast monsoon strengthening over the weekend while a broad low-pressure area develops in the central South China Sea, driving mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms for September 12. Official guidance lists a daily temperature range of 25–30 °C, with higher humidity (60–95 %) and medium-to-high rain probability expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, drier conditions forecast for September 11 (26–31 °C). Historical mid-September maxima average near 30.8 °C, but increased cloud cover and convective activity this weekend reduce the chance of readings reaching or exceeding 32 °C. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower extremes at low single-digit odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
6%
28°C
$20 KL.
10%
29°C
$12 KL.
19%
30°C
$0 KL.
26%
31°C
$248 KL.
32%
32°C
$11 KL.
22%
33°C
$200 KL.
4%
34°C
$0 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s September 10 forecast shows a northeast monsoon strengthening over the weekend while a broad low-pressure area develops in the central South China Sea, driving mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms for September 12. Official guidance lists a daily temperature range of 25–30 °C, with higher humidity (60–95 %) and medium-to-high rain probability expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, drier conditions forecast for September 11 (26–31 °C). Historical mid-September maxima average near 30.8 °C, but increased cloud cover and convective activity this weekend reduce the chance of readings reaching or exceeding 32 °C. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower extremes at low single-digit odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$236Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s September 10 forecast shows a northeast monsoon strengthening over the weekend while a broad low-pressure area develops in the central South China Sea, driving mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms for September 12. Official guidance lists a daily temperature range of 25–30 °C, with higher humidity (60–95 %) and medium-to-high rain probability expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, drier conditions forecast for September 11 (26–31 °C). Historical mid-September maxima average near 30.8 °C, but increased cloud cover and convective activity this weekend reduce the chance of readings reaching or exceeding 32 °C. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower extremes at low single-digit odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$236Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s September 10 forecast shows a northeast monsoon strengthening over the weekend while a broad low-pressure area develops in the central South China Sea, driving mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms for September 12. Official guidance lists a daily temperature range of 25–30 °C, with higher humidity (60–95 %) and medium-to-high rain probability expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, drier conditions forecast for September 11 (26–31 °C). Historical mid-September maxima average near 30.8 °C, but increased cloud cover and convective activity this weekend reduce the chance of readings reaching or exceeding 32 °C. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower extremes at low single-digit odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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