Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92°F or higher
4%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
13%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
18%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
20%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
35%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
36%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
7%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
7%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
7%
92°F or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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