Forecast models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a September 10 high near 19°C in Warsaw amid building high pressure, persistent cloud cover, light rain, and west-to-northwest winds of 10–15 km/h that limit daytime heating. This follows several days of above-average warmth (highs to 28–29°C), with the shift driven by a cooler maritime air mass. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, and current ensemble consensus shows low probability of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given the stable pattern and minimal model spread. Traders have aligned closely with these near-term observations and short-range guidance, concentrating probability on 18–20°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
19°C 43%
20°C 30%
18°C 18%
21°C 7%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
43%
20°C
30%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 30%
18°C 18%
21°C 7%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
43%
20°C
30%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a September 10 high near 19°C in Warsaw amid building high pressure, persistent cloud cover, light rain, and west-to-northwest winds of 10–15 km/h that limit daytime heating. This follows several days of above-average warmth (highs to 28–29°C), with the shift driven by a cooler maritime air mass. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, and current ensemble consensus shows low probability of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given the stable pattern and minimal model spread. Traders have aligned closely with these near-term observations and short-range guidance, concentrating probability on 18–20°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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