Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
32°C 87%
33°C 13%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$28,224 KL.
$28,224 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
87%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 87%
33°C 13%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$28,224 KL.
$28,224 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
87%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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