Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 12, with highs most likely reaching 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly to northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a transient ridge following earlier southerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cloud build-up that could suppress maxima. Historical September averages near 15 °C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly cooler steering patterns keeping the upper end of the distribution below 15 °C. Trader consensus at 14 °C (53.5 %) and 13 °C (29.5 %) aligns with this narrow forecast spread, with limited volatility expected absent major model shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
14°C 58%
13°C 19%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
58%
15°C
16%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 58%
13°C 19%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$333 KL.
<1%
9°C
$304 KL.
<1%
10°C
$0 KL.
2%
11°C
$136 KL.
2%
12°C
$73 KL.
4%
13°C
$539 KL.
19%
14°C
$844 KL.
58%
15°C
$132 KL.
16%
16°C
$72 KL.
4%
17°C
$0 KL.
2%
18°C or higher
$143 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 12, with highs most likely reaching 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly to northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a transient ridge following earlier southerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cloud build-up that could suppress maxima. Historical September averages near 15 °C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly cooler steering patterns keeping the upper end of the distribution below 15 °C. Trader consensus at 14 °C (53.5 %) and 13 °C (29.5 %) aligns with this narrow forecast spread, with limited volatility expected absent major model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,576Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 12, with highs most likely reaching 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly to northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a transient ridge following earlier southerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cloud build-up that could suppress maxima. Historical September averages near 15 °C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly cooler steering patterns keeping the upper end of the distribution below 15 °C. Trader consensus at 14 °C (53.5 %) and 13 °C (29.5 %) aligns with this narrow forecast spread, with limited volatility expected absent major model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,576Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 12, with highs most likely reaching 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly to northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a transient ridge following earlier southerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cloud build-up that could suppress maxima. Historical September averages near 15 °C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly cooler steering patterns keeping the upper end of the distribution below 15 °C. Trader consensus at 14 °C (53.5 %) and 13 °C (29.5 %) aligns with this narrow forecast spread, with limited volatility expected absent major model shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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