Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low in the upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 12, with patchy fog and light southwesterly winds after sunset limiting radiational cooling. Persistent marine layer influence and above-average sea surface temperatures have kept recent overnight lows elevated near 70–74°F, reducing the typical drop from daytime highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors a minimum around 67–68°F at official stations like LAX or downtown, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could push readings into the low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the 70–71°F bin holding over 50% implied probability, appears anchored to these warmer recent analogs and the low likelihood of stronger cooling under clear-to-foggy conditions. Updated evening observations and final climatological reports will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 12?
72-73°F 26%
64-65°F 9%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 6%
$953 KL.
$953 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
-
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 26%
64-65°F 9%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 6%
$953 KL.
$953 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
59°F or below
$25 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$25 KL.
2%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
6%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
9%
66-67°F
$45 KL.
2%
68-69°F
$118 KL.
8%
70-71°F
$319 KL.
-
72-73°F
$332 KL.
26%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$45 KL.
<1%
78°F or higher
$45 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low in the upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 12, with patchy fog and light southwesterly winds after sunset limiting radiational cooling. Persistent marine layer influence and above-average sea surface temperatures have kept recent overnight lows elevated near 70–74°F, reducing the typical drop from daytime highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors a minimum around 67–68°F at official stations like LAX or downtown, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could push readings into the low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the 70–71°F bin holding over 50% implied probability, appears anchored to these warmer recent analogs and the low likelihood of stronger cooling under clear-to-foggy conditions. Updated evening observations and final climatological reports will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$953Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low in the upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 12, with patchy fog and light southwesterly winds after sunset limiting radiational cooling. Persistent marine layer influence and above-average sea surface temperatures have kept recent overnight lows elevated near 70–74°F, reducing the typical drop from daytime highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors a minimum around 67–68°F at official stations like LAX or downtown, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could push readings into the low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the 70–71°F bin holding over 50% implied probability, appears anchored to these warmer recent analogs and the low likelihood of stronger cooling under clear-to-foggy conditions. Updated evening observations and final climatological reports will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$953Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low in the upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 12, with patchy fog and light southwesterly winds after sunset limiting radiational cooling. Persistent marine layer influence and above-average sea surface temperatures have kept recent overnight lows elevated near 70–74°F, reducing the typical drop from daytime highs in the mid-80s. This setup favors a minimum around 67–68°F at official stations like LAX or downtown, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could push readings into the low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the 70–71°F bin holding over 50% implied probability, appears anchored to these warmer recent analogs and the low likelihood of stronger cooling under clear-to-foggy conditions. Updated evening observations and final climatological reports will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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