Official forecasts for Wellington on September 13, 2026, from sources aligned with MetService and international models such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a daytime high near 15°C under fine to partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting from northwesterly to southeasterly. This places temperatures slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 13°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover during the spring transition. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited precipitation risk supporting stable readings rather than cooler southerly outbreaks. Trader positioning around 15°C at 67.5% implied probability aligns with this near-term observational and forecast data, while adjacent outcomes at 14°C and 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or microscale variations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
15°C 68%
14°C 18%
16°C 18%
13°C 2%
$14,937 KL.
$14,937 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
68%
16°C
18%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 68%
14°C 18%
16°C 18%
13°C 2%
$14,937 KL.
$14,937 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
68%
16°C
18%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Wellington on September 13, 2026, from sources aligned with MetService and international models such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a daytime high near 15°C under fine to partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting from northwesterly to southeasterly. This places temperatures slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 13°C, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover during the spring transition. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with limited precipitation risk supporting stable readings rather than cooler southerly outbreaks. Trader positioning around 15°C at 67.5% implied probability aligns with this near-term observational and forecast data, while adjacent outcomes at 14°C and 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or microscale variations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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