Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 14 indicate a high near 26–27°C under mostly clear or sunny skies with light, variable winds and no precipitation, consistent with seasonal September averages of about 26°C. Trader positioning, with the largest implied probabilities clustered around 29–30°C and notable weight on 34°C or higher, reflects uncertainty in the exact daily maximum driven by coastal factors including potential sea-breeze moderation, subtle shifts in wind direction that alter onshore flow, and model spread in boundary-layer heating. High pressure and stable conditions limit major changes, yet small variations in timing or local measurement can shift the peak by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
29°C 24%
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
29°C 24%
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 14 indicate a high near 26–27°C under mostly clear or sunny skies with light, variable winds and no precipitation, consistent with seasonal September averages of about 26°C. Trader positioning, with the largest implied probabilities clustered around 29–30°C and notable weight on 34°C or higher, reflects uncertainty in the exact daily maximum driven by coastal factors including potential sea-breeze moderation, subtle shifts in wind direction that alter onshore flow, and model spread in boundary-layer heating. High pressure and stable conditions limit major changes, yet small variations in timing or local measurement can shift the peak by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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