Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
16°C or below 53%
26°C or higher 53%
21°C 39%
17°C 38%
16°C or below
53%
17°C
38%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
39%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
14%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
53%
16°C or below 53%
26°C or higher 53%
21°C 39%
17°C 38%
16°C or below
53%
17°C
38%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
39%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
14%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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