**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 KL.
$747 KL.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 KL.
$747 KL.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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