**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 70–73°F range for San Francisco’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty in marine-layer depth and clearing timing.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate a morning marine layer with possible light drizzle giving way to gradual clearing and highs near 70°F (21°C) under light southwest winds, while some ensemble guidance and nearby stations project mid-70s if onshore flow weakens faster. Recent soundings show a roughly 2,400-foot-deep marine layer that typically caps afternoon warming near historical September averages of 70–71°F. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the exact hour of marine-layer burn-off, wind direction shifts, and microclimate differences between downtown and airport stations used for resolution. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 17?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
MỚI
$10,784 KL.
MỚI
$10,784 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
MỚI
$10,784 KL.
MỚI
$10,784 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
63°F or below
$269 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$149 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$122 KL.
4%
68-69°F
$2,339 KL.
14%
70-71°F
$897 KL.
43%
72-73°F
$3,186 KL.
38%
74-75°F
$781 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$159 KL.
1%
78-79°F
$228 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$105 KL.
<1%
82°F or higher
$2,550 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 70–73°F range for San Francisco’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty in marine-layer depth and clearing timing.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate a morning marine layer with possible light drizzle giving way to gradual clearing and highs near 70°F (21°C) under light southwest winds, while some ensemble guidance and nearby stations project mid-70s if onshore flow weakens faster. Recent soundings show a roughly 2,400-foot-deep marine layer that typically caps afternoon warming near historical September averages of 70–71°F. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the exact hour of marine-layer burn-off, wind direction shifts, and microclimate differences between downtown and airport stations used for resolution. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,784Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 70–73°F range for San Francisco’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty in marine-layer depth and clearing timing.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate a morning marine layer with possible light drizzle giving way to gradual clearing and highs near 70°F (21°C) under light southwest winds, while some ensemble guidance and nearby stations project mid-70s if onshore flow weakens faster. Recent soundings show a roughly 2,400-foot-deep marine layer that typically caps afternoon warming near historical September averages of 70–71°F. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the exact hour of marine-layer burn-off, wind direction shifts, and microclimate differences between downtown and airport stations used for resolution. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,784Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 70–73°F range for San Francisco’s September 17 high, reflecting uncertainty in marine-layer depth and clearing timing.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate a morning marine layer with possible light drizzle giving way to gradual clearing and highs near 70°F (21°C) under light southwest winds, while some ensemble guidance and nearby stations project mid-70s if onshore flow weakens faster. Recent soundings show a roughly 2,400-foot-deep marine layer that typically caps afternoon warming near historical September averages of 70–71°F. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the exact hour of marine-layer burn-off, wind direction shifts, and microclimate differences between downtown and airport stations used for resolution. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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