**Trader consensus centers on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on September 16, 2026 (64% implied probability), with 72-73°F as the next most likely range (24%).** This positioning reflects official and model forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and ensemble guidance showing sunny to mostly clear skies under northerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low-to-mid 70s. Clear conditions and light-to-moderate northerly winds (typically 5-11 mph) allow efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer suppression or cloud cover, consistent with the climatological shift from cooler, partly cloudy conditions on September 15 (highs near 66°F). Historical September averages near 70-71°F provide context, but the current synoptic pattern—high pressure and minimal precipitation—supports temperatures 3-5°F above normal. Model agreement on peak readings around 72-74°F, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming, explains the tight clustering of probabilities in the 72-77°F bins and minimal odds on extremes. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will further refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
74-75°F 65%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 3%
MỚI
$12,457 KL.
MỚI
$12,457 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
65%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 65%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 3%
MỚI
$12,457 KL.
MỚI
$12,457 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
$448 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$524 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$746 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$935 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,248 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$2,195 KL.
24%
74-75°F
$2,811 KL.
65%
76-77°F
$1,710 KL.
12%
78-79°F
$1,213 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$350 KL.
<1%
82°F or higher
$277 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on September 16, 2026 (64% implied probability), with 72-73°F as the next most likely range (24%).** This positioning reflects official and model forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and ensemble guidance showing sunny to mostly clear skies under northerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low-to-mid 70s.
Clear conditions and light-to-moderate northerly winds (typically 5-11 mph) allow efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer suppression or cloud cover, consistent with the climatological shift from cooler, partly cloudy conditions on September 15 (highs near 66°F). Historical September averages near 70-71°F provide context, but the current synoptic pattern—high pressure and minimal precipitation—supports temperatures 3-5°F above normal. Model agreement on peak readings around 72-74°F, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming, explains the tight clustering of probabilities in the 72-77°F bins and minimal odds on extremes. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,457Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on September 16, 2026 (64% implied probability), with 72-73°F as the next most likely range (24%).** This positioning reflects official and model forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and ensemble guidance showing sunny to mostly clear skies under northerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low-to-mid 70s.
Clear conditions and light-to-moderate northerly winds (typically 5-11 mph) allow efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer suppression or cloud cover, consistent with the climatological shift from cooler, partly cloudy conditions on September 15 (highs near 66°F). Historical September averages near 70-71°F provide context, but the current synoptic pattern—high pressure and minimal precipitation—supports temperatures 3-5°F above normal. Model agreement on peak readings around 72-74°F, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming, explains the tight clustering of probabilities in the 72-77°F bins and minimal odds on extremes. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,457Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on September 16, 2026 (64% implied probability), with 72-73°F as the next most likely range (24%).** This positioning reflects official and model forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and ensemble guidance showing sunny to mostly clear skies under northerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low-to-mid 70s. Clear conditions and light-to-moderate northerly winds (typically 5-11 mph) allow efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer suppression or cloud cover, consistent with the climatological shift from cooler, partly cloudy conditions on September 15 (highs near 66°F). Historical September averages near 70-71°F provide context, but the current synoptic pattern—high pressure and minimal precipitation—supports temperatures 3-5°F above normal. Model agreement on peak readings around 72-74°F, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming, explains the tight clustering of probabilities in the 72-77°F bins and minimal odds on extremes. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will further refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp