Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's September 18 high will likely reach 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle possible in the morning. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clear September norms near 27°C, while moderate easterly winds and higher humidity further moderate peaks. Recent GFS and CMA runs have converged on this range, reducing upside risk for 30°C or above and supporting the market's emphasis on 28–29°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or precipitation timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
29°C 35%
28°C 26%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
26%
29°C
35%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 26%
30°C 21%
27°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
26%
29°C
35%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's September 18 high will likely reach 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle possible in the morning. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clear September norms near 27°C, while moderate easterly winds and higher humidity further moderate peaks. Recent GFS and CMA runs have converged on this range, reducing upside risk for 30°C or above and supporting the market's emphasis on 28–29°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or precipitation timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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