Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Jeddah's September 19 maximum will most likely fall in the 36–38 °C range, with the market assigning the highest implied probability to 37 °C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability driven by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 32 °C, light northerly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating over the coastal plain. Small differences among 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C hinge on the precise timing of any sea-breeze onset and subtle shifts in 850 hPa thickness shown in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical September maxima in Jeddah average 36–37 °C, so the current distribution aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for modest model adjustments before the 19 September observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 19?
37°C 36%
38°C 27%
36°C 19%
35°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
16%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C
27%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
38°C 27%
36°C 19%
35°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
16%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C
27%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Jeddah's September 19 maximum will most likely fall in the 36–38 °C range, with the market assigning the highest implied probability to 37 °C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability driven by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 32 °C, light northerly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating over the coastal plain. Small differences among 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C hinge on the precise timing of any sea-breeze onset and subtle shifts in 850 hPa thickness shown in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical September maxima in Jeddah average 36–37 °C, so the current distribution aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for modest model adjustments before the 19 September observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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