Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on overnight lows of 61–64°F for New York City on September 19, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling under moderate humidity. This positions the 62–63°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, with adjacent 60–61°F and 64–65°F outcomes capturing model spread and minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range over the past 24–48 hours, aligning with climatological September averages near 60.5°F while reflecting the specific synoptic setup of cooler maritime air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of final National Weather Service observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 41%
60-61°F 22%
66-67°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
41%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 41%
60-61°F 22%
66-67°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
$0 KL.
2%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
4%
58-59°F
$63 KL.
7%
60-61°F
$39 KL.
22%
62-63°F
$9 KL.
41%
64-65°F
$77 KL.
42%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
11%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
5%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
2%
74°F or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on overnight lows of 61–64°F for New York City on September 19, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling under moderate humidity. This positions the 62–63°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, with adjacent 60–61°F and 64–65°F outcomes capturing model spread and minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range over the past 24–48 hours, aligning with climatological September averages near 60.5°F while reflecting the specific synoptic setup of cooler maritime air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of final National Weather Service observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on overnight lows of 61–64°F for New York City on September 19, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling under moderate humidity. This positions the 62–63°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, with adjacent 60–61°F and 64–65°F outcomes capturing model spread and minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range over the past 24–48 hours, aligning with climatological September averages near 60.5°F while reflecting the specific synoptic setup of cooler maritime air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of final National Weather Service observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on overnight lows of 61–64°F for New York City on September 19, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling under moderate humidity. This positions the 62–63°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, with adjacent 60–61°F and 64–65°F outcomes capturing model spread and minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range over the past 24–48 hours, aligning with climatological September averages near 60.5°F while reflecting the specific synoptic setup of cooler maritime air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of final National Weather Service observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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