Current NWS and model consensus for Seattle on September 19 points to an overnight low in the low 50s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure with dew points near 50°F. These conditions typically allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees after sunset without strong mixing or marine-layer suppression. Key differentiators among market bins include potential model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push readings toward 50-51°F or lower via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling near 52-54°F. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 52°F, underscoring why the closely matched leading probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in the final overnight minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 19?
45°F or below 70%
52-53°F 43%
48-49°F 39%
50-51°F 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
45°F or below
70%
46-47°F
10%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
1%
45°F or below 70%
52-53°F 43%
48-49°F 39%
50-51°F 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
45°F or below
$0 KL.
70%
46-47°F
$0 KL.
10%
48-49°F
$0 KL.
39%
50-51°F
$0 KL.
30%
52-53°F
$13 KL.
36%
54-55°F
$13 KL.
23%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
15%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
10%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
1%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
1%
64°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model consensus for Seattle on September 19 points to an overnight low in the low 50s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure with dew points near 50°F. These conditions typically allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees after sunset without strong mixing or marine-layer suppression. Key differentiators among market bins include potential model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push readings toward 50-51°F or lower via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling near 52-54°F. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 52°F, underscoring why the closely matched leading probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in the final overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model consensus for Seattle on September 19 points to an overnight low in the low 50s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure with dew points near 50°F. These conditions typically allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees after sunset without strong mixing or marine-layer suppression. Key differentiators among market bins include potential model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push readings toward 50-51°F or lower via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling near 52-54°F. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 52°F, underscoring why the closely matched leading probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in the final overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and model consensus for Seattle on September 19 points to an overnight low in the low 50s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure with dew points near 50°F. These conditions typically allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees after sunset without strong mixing or marine-layer suppression. Key differentiators among market bins include potential model spread on cloud cover—clearer skies could push readings toward 50-51°F or lower via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling near 52-54°F. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 52°F, underscoring why the closely matched leading probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in the final overnight minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp