Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
31°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
29°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
20%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
22%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
29°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
26°C
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
17%
29°C
$0 KL.
20%
30°C
$0 KL.
19%
31°C
$0 KL.
26%
32°C
$0 KL.
25%
33°C
$0 KL.
22%
34°C
$0 KL.
17%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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