Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp