**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and international agencies, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C for Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds around 10-15 km/h are expected to limit extreme heating while allowing sufficient solar radiation for daytime warming from overnight lows near 23°C. This places the high squarely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with late-summer conditions in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate where September averages hover around 27°C. Recent stability with no active fronts or typhoon influences has kept model consensus tight, supporting trader positioning around 29°C while assigning lower odds to 30°C or cooler 28°C scenarios. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
29°C 62%
28°C 28%
30°C 7%
27°C 4%
MỚI
$21,389 KL.
MỚI
$21,389 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
28%
29°C
62%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 62%
28°C 28%
30°C 7%
27°C 4%
MỚI
$21,389 KL.
MỚI
$21,389 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
$98 KL.
<1%
25°C
$98 KL.
<1%
26°C
$176 KL.
<1%
27°C
$4,312 KL.
4%
28°C
$5,590 KL.
28%
29°C
$5,687 KL.
62%
30°C
$2,914 KL.
7%
31°C
$1,782 KL.
1%
32°C
$845 KL.
<1%
33°C
$70 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$183 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and international agencies, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C for Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
Partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds around 10-15 km/h are expected to limit extreme heating while allowing sufficient solar radiation for daytime warming from overnight lows near 23°C. This places the high squarely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with late-summer conditions in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate where September averages hover around 27°C. Recent stability with no active fronts or typhoon influences has kept model consensus tight, supporting trader positioning around 29°C while assigning lower odds to 30°C or cooler 28°C scenarios. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,389Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and international agencies, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C for Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
Partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds around 10-15 km/h are expected to limit extreme heating while allowing sufficient solar radiation for daytime warming from overnight lows near 23°C. This places the high squarely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with late-summer conditions in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate where September averages hover around 27°C. Recent stability with no active fronts or typhoon influences has kept model consensus tight, supporting trader positioning around 29°C while assigning lower odds to 30°C or cooler 28°C scenarios. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$21,389Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and international agencies, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C for Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds around 10-15 km/h are expected to limit extreme heating while allowing sufficient solar radiation for daytime warming from overnight lows near 23°C. This places the high squarely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with late-summer conditions in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate where September averages hover around 27°C. Recent stability with no active fronts or typhoon influences has kept model consensus tight, supporting trader positioning around 29°C while assigning lower odds to 30°C or cooler 28°C scenarios. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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