**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.** Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
23°C 47%
24°C 38%
19°C or below 14%
22°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
47%
24°C
38%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
14%
23°C 47%
24°C 38%
19°C or below 14%
22°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
14%
20°C
$0 KL.
13%
21°C
$0 KL.
13%
22°C
$0 KL.
14%
23°C
$304 KL.
47%
24°C
$236 KL.
38%
25°C
$0 KL.
12%
26°C
$0 KL.
13%
27°C
$0 KL.
13%
28°C
$0 KL.
13%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.**
Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.**
Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate a low temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 30.5% implied probability.** Northeast winds of 7–11 mph under building high pressure (around 1018–1020 hPa) are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns after the East Asian monsoon retreat. Light cloud cover or isolated drizzle in some runs adds minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, but consensus across ECMWF and local guidance shows little deviation from the 22–24°C range. Historical September lows in Shanghai average near 22°C, so current conditions reflect typical seasonal moderation rather than anomalous cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread heavily, with lower-probability tails (19–20°C or 29°C+) reflecting model spread or potential steering changes. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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