**Trader consensus on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13 rests on Hong Kong Observatory observations and model guidance showing temperatures reaching that level amid typical late-summer conditions.** September climatology features average highs near 31°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that sustain high humidity and heat. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with limited rainfall, allowing sufficient solar heating for a peak in the low 30s Celsius while steering patterns prevent significant cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official monitoring data and seasonal norms. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or enhanced monsoon flow delivering cooler maritime air, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,233 KL.
$106,233 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,233 KL.
$106,233 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$778 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,505 KL.
<1%
27°C
$6,113 KL.
<1%
28°C
$17,642 KL.
<1%
29°C
$12,367 KL.
<1%
30°C
$11,952 KL.
<1%
31°C
$19,586 KL.
100%
32°C
$24,567 KL.
<1%
33°C
$9,053 KL.
<1%
34°C
$2,516 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13 rests on Hong Kong Observatory observations and model guidance showing temperatures reaching that level amid typical late-summer conditions.** September climatology features average highs near 31°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that sustain high humidity and heat. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with limited rainfall, allowing sufficient solar heating for a peak in the low 30s Celsius while steering patterns prevent significant cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official monitoring data and seasonal norms. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or enhanced monsoon flow delivering cooler maritime air, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$106,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13 rests on Hong Kong Observatory observations and model guidance showing temperatures reaching that level amid typical late-summer conditions.** September climatology features average highs near 31°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that sustain high humidity and heat. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with limited rainfall, allowing sufficient solar heating for a peak in the low 30s Celsius while steering patterns prevent significant cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official monitoring data and seasonal norms. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or enhanced monsoon flow delivering cooler maritime air, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$106,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 31°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 13 rests on Hong Kong Observatory observations and model guidance showing temperatures reaching that level amid typical late-summer conditions.** September climatology features average highs near 31°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that sustain high humidity and heat. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with limited rainfall, allowing sufficient solar heating for a peak in the low 30s Celsius while steering patterns prevent significant cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official monitoring data and seasonal norms. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or enhanced monsoon flow delivering cooler maritime air, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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