Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 point to typical late-summer conditions with highs near 32°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely split because models show modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures driven by variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and light northeasterly flow that could enhance or limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and convective activity favor minima near or above 25°C, while any clearer breaks or a weak frontal passage could allow drops toward 22–24°C, aligning with historical September variability where lows have ranged from the upper teens to the mid-20s. Updated model runs and official guidance on precipitation timing will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 96%
22°C 39%
25°C 21%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
17%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
97%
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 96%
22°C 39%
25°C 21%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
17%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 point to typical late-summer conditions with highs near 32°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely split because models show modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures driven by variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and light northeasterly flow that could enhance or limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and convective activity favor minima near or above 25°C, while any clearer breaks or a weak frontal passage could allow drops toward 22–24°C, aligning with historical September variability where lows have ranged from the upper teens to the mid-20s. Updated model runs and official guidance on precipitation timing will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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