Persistent warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Guangzhou, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–26 °C for the September 14 minimum. Light northerly winds and high dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration and global model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-20s °C amid scattered thunderstorms. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 24.3 °C, with urban heat retention adding a slight upward bias. Minor forecast divergences in exact rainfall timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the low settles at 24 °C or edges toward 26 °C before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
30°C or higher 94%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
20°C or below
20%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
40%
28°C
18%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
94%
30°C or higher 94%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
20°C or below
20%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
40%
28°C
18%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Guangzhou, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–26 °C for the September 14 minimum. Light northerly winds and high dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration and global model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-20s °C amid scattered thunderstorms. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 24.3 °C, with urban heat retention adding a slight upward bias. Minor forecast divergences in exact rainfall timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the low settles at 24 °C or edges toward 26 °C before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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