Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
25°C 49%
24°C 35%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
35%
25°C
49%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 35%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$307 KL.
<1%
20°C
$437 KL.
<1%
21°C
$247 KL.
<1%
22°C
$549 KL.
2%
23°C
$1,040 KL.
7%
24°C
$2,076 KL.
35%
25°C
$1,846 KL.
49%
26°C
$981 KL.
12%
27°C
$446 KL.
2%
28°C
$404 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$521 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,764Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,764Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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