**Current forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (56%) and 23°C (29.5%).** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—driven by high humidity, daytime heating over the 2,240 m plateau, and typical easterly moisture flow—commonly limit peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation. Historical averages show September highs near 23–24°C (73–75°F), with rare excursions above 25°C under clearer conditions. Recent model consensus reflects these seasonal dynamics without signals of anomalous warming or prolonged clear skies that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon precipitation capping the high against modest upside potential if cloud cover remains limited.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
24°C 55%
23°C 29%
25°C 11%
22°C 5%
$10,491 KL.
$10,491 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
29%
24°C
55%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
3%
24°C 55%
23°C 29%
25°C 11%
22°C 5%
$10,491 KL.
$10,491 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
29%
24°C
55%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (56%) and 23°C (29.5%).** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—driven by high humidity, daytime heating over the 2,240 m plateau, and typical easterly moisture flow—commonly limit peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation. Historical averages show September highs near 23–24°C (73–75°F), with rare excursions above 25°C under clearer conditions. Recent model consensus reflects these seasonal dynamics without signals of anomalous warming or prolonged clear skies that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of afternoon precipitation capping the high against modest upside potential if cloud cover remains limited.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp