Latest ensemble forecasts indicate a peak temperature of 30–33°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by southerly flow under a lingering subtropical ridge that favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited mixing. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud cover and light precipitation timing, with some runs showing highs near 29°C if onshore winds strengthen. September climatology for the region averages 28–30°C maxima, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C outcomes because near-term dynamical updates have stabilized in that range, though resolution hinges on official hourly observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
32°C 29%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
29°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
13%
31°C
25%
32°C
29%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 29%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
29°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
16%
30°C
$0 KL.
13%
31°C
$0 KL.
25%
32°C
$0 KL.
29%
33°C
$0 KL.
23%
34°C
$0 KL.
11%
35°C
$0 KL.
5%
36°C
$0 KL.
5%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts indicate a peak temperature of 30–33°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by southerly flow under a lingering subtropical ridge that favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited mixing. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud cover and light precipitation timing, with some runs showing highs near 29°C if onshore winds strengthen. September climatology for the region averages 28–30°C maxima, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C outcomes because near-term dynamical updates have stabilized in that range, though resolution hinges on official hourly observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts indicate a peak temperature of 30–33°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by southerly flow under a lingering subtropical ridge that favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited mixing. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud cover and light precipitation timing, with some runs showing highs near 29°C if onshore winds strengthen. September climatology for the region averages 28–30°C maxima, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C outcomes because near-term dynamical updates have stabilized in that range, though resolution hinges on official hourly observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts indicate a peak temperature of 30–33°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by southerly flow under a lingering subtropical ridge that favors mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited mixing. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud cover and light precipitation timing, with some runs showing highs near 29°C if onshore winds strengthen. September climatology for the region averages 28–30°C maxima, so current guidance reflects modest positive anomalies. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C outcomes because near-term dynamical updates have stabilized in that range, though resolution hinges on official hourly observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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