**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 39°C or higher at 52%** because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by forecasters, project daytime highs near or above this threshold for September 14 amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Red Sea region. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate typically delivers September maxima around 35–37°C, with recent observations showing 37–38°C peaks and minimal cloud cover or precipitation allowing strong solar heating. Low-level winds from the west and elevated dew points support heat retention, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact intensification. Official monitoring from Saudi meteorological services and global ensembles will provide key updates before resolution, refining trader consensus on whether conditions exceed the 39°C mark.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 14?
39°C or higher 50%
38°C 29%
37°C 15%
36°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
15%
38°C
29%
39°C or higher
50%
39°C or higher 50%
38°C 29%
37°C 15%
36°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
15%
38°C
29%
39°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 39°C or higher at 52%** because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by forecasters, project daytime highs near or above this threshold for September 14 amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Red Sea region. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate typically delivers September maxima around 35–37°C, with recent observations showing 37–38°C peaks and minimal cloud cover or precipitation allowing strong solar heating. Low-level winds from the west and elevated dew points support heat retention, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact intensification. Official monitoring from Saudi meteorological services and global ensembles will provide key updates before resolution, refining trader consensus on whether conditions exceed the 39°C mark.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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