**Latest forecast guidance points to a daily minimum near 6–7°C for Buenos Aires on September 14 under clear skies and light northerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight the dominant control on the low.** High pressure and dry conditions favor strong surface cooling after recent mild days, yet model consensus remains tight around this range rather than the sub-2°C extremes seen earlier in the month or warmer values above 10°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any weak warm-air advection create the narrow spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a very cold outcome versus a milder one. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will resolve the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
2°C or below
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C or higher
98%
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
2°C or below
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast guidance points to a daily minimum near 6–7°C for Buenos Aires on September 14 under clear skies and light northerly flow, with radiative cooling overnight the dominant control on the low.** High pressure and dry conditions favor strong surface cooling after recent mild days, yet model consensus remains tight around this range rather than the sub-2°C extremes seen earlier in the month or warmer values above 10°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any weak warm-air advection create the narrow spread between the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a very cold outcome versus a milder one. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will resolve the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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