**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature near 24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome.** September's rainy season brings frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that typically caps daytime highs around the long-term average of 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Current guidance from multiple sources shows partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% rain chance and light northerly winds, limiting solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 23–26°C, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky surge is expected. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread—favoring 24°C over 25°C or 23°C—while acknowledging minor model divergence on exact peak timing and convective activity before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
24°C 49%
25°C 32%
23°C 14%
26°C 6%
MỚI
$10,805 KL.
MỚI
$10,805 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
49%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 49%
25°C 32%
23°C 14%
26°C 6%
MỚI
$10,805 KL.
MỚI
$10,805 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
17°C or below
$348 KL.
<1%
18°C
$297 KL.
<1%
19°C
$348 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,219 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C
$563 KL.
3%
23°C
$2,421 KL.
14%
24°C
$2,000 KL.
49%
25°C
$2,695 KL.
32%
26°C
$900 KL.
6%
27°C or higher
$14 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature near 24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome.**
September's rainy season brings frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that typically caps daytime highs around the long-term average of 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Current guidance from multiple sources shows partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% rain chance and light northerly winds, limiting solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 23–26°C, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky surge is expected. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread—favoring 24°C over 25°C or 23°C—while acknowledging minor model divergence on exact peak timing and convective activity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,805Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature near 24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome.**
September's rainy season brings frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that typically caps daytime highs around the long-term average of 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Current guidance from multiple sources shows partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% rain chance and light northerly winds, limiting solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 23–26°C, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky surge is expected. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread—favoring 24°C over 25°C or 23°C—while acknowledging minor model divergence on exact peak timing and convective activity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,805Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature near 24°C in Mexico City today, aligning with the market's leading 48% implied probability for that outcome.** September's rainy season brings frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that typically caps daytime highs around the long-term average of 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Current guidance from multiple sources shows partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% rain chance and light northerly winds, limiting solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 23–26°C, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky surge is expected. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread—favoring 24°C over 25°C or 23°C—while acknowledging minor model divergence on exact peak timing and convective activity before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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