Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including INMET and international sources, point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in São Paulo on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling during spring conditions. This aligns with the seasonal average minimum of around 12°C while reflecting a cooler-than-normal September pattern so far. Trader consensus favors 13°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with modest support for 12°C or 11°C if clearer skies develop late in the period, though higher outcomes remain negligible given the established thermal profile. Final resolution hinges on official station observations, with any last-minute model adjustments or localized variations potentially shifting the exact low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 16?
12°C 14%
11°C 4%
10°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 14%
11°C 4%
10°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
10°C
$67 KL.
3%
11°C
$12 KL.
4%
12°C
$4 KL.
14%
13°C
$6 KL.
50%
14°C
$1,888 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,939 KL.
<1%
16°C
$25 KL.
<1%
17°C
$25 KL.
<1%
18°C
$25 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$25 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including INMET and international sources, point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in São Paulo on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling during spring conditions. This aligns with the seasonal average minimum of around 12°C while reflecting a cooler-than-normal September pattern so far. Trader consensus favors 13°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with modest support for 12°C or 11°C if clearer skies develop late in the period, though higher outcomes remain negligible given the established thermal profile. Final resolution hinges on official station observations, with any last-minute model adjustments or localized variations potentially shifting the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,017Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including INMET and international sources, point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in São Paulo on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling during spring conditions. This aligns with the seasonal average minimum of around 12°C while reflecting a cooler-than-normal September pattern so far. Trader consensus favors 13°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with modest support for 12°C or 11°C if clearer skies develop late in the period, though higher outcomes remain negligible given the established thermal profile. Final resolution hinges on official station observations, with any last-minute model adjustments or localized variations potentially shifting the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,017Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including INMET and international sources, point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in São Paulo on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling during spring conditions. This aligns with the seasonal average minimum of around 12°C while reflecting a cooler-than-normal September pattern so far. Trader consensus favors 13°C at nearly 50% implied probability, with modest support for 12°C or 11°C if clearer skies develop late in the period, though higher outcomes remain negligible given the established thermal profile. Final resolution hinges on official station observations, with any last-minute model adjustments or localized variations potentially shifting the exact low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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