Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate Beijing will likely see a high near 30–32°C on September 16 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A warming trend from mid-September conditions, with daytime highs rising from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week, stems from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal interference. Historical September averages near 26°C and a 34.4°C record highlight that current readings sit above normal but well below extremes, while minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the close contest between 31°C and 32°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria based on the official Beijing observatory maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
32%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
28°C
$7 KL.
5%
29°C
$31 KL.
10%
30°C
$166 KL.
19%
31°C
$52 KL.
29%
32°C
$32 KL.
32%
33°C
$10 KL.
11%
34°C
$0 KL.
7%
35°C
$0 KL.
7%
36°C
$0 KL.
10%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate Beijing will likely see a high near 30–32°C on September 16 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A warming trend from mid-September conditions, with daytime highs rising from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week, stems from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal interference. Historical September averages near 26°C and a 34.4°C record highlight that current readings sit above normal but well below extremes, while minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the close contest between 31°C and 32°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria based on the official Beijing observatory maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$299Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate Beijing will likely see a high near 30–32°C on September 16 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A warming trend from mid-September conditions, with daytime highs rising from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week, stems from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal interference. Historical September averages near 26°C and a 34.4°C record highlight that current readings sit above normal but well below extremes, while minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the close contest between 31°C and 32°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria based on the official Beijing observatory maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$299Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate Beijing will likely see a high near 30–32°C on September 16 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A warming trend from mid-September conditions, with daytime highs rising from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week, stems from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal interference. Historical September averages near 26°C and a 34.4°C record highlight that current readings sit above normal but well below extremes, while minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the close contest between 31°C and 32°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria based on the official Beijing observatory maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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