Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity create the primary uncertainty: scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if they develop early, while clearer periods allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Official observations on September 13 reached 31.7°C at the Hong Kong Observatory amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog. Traders appear focused on the timing of any thunderstorms and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Hong Kong Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 39%
32°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$10,976 KL.
MỚI
$10,976 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
39%
32°C
36%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$10,976 KL.
MỚI
$10,976 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$323 KL.
<1%
27°C
$203 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,061 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,411 KL.
2%
30°C
$2,573 KL.
15%
31°C
$728 KL.
39%
32°C
$2,108 KL.
36%
33°C
$1,065 KL.
14%
34°C
$969 KL.
1%
35°C
$254 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$282 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity create the primary uncertainty: scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if they develop early, while clearer periods allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Official observations on September 13 reached 31.7°C at the Hong Kong Observatory amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog. Traders appear focused on the timing of any thunderstorms and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Hong Kong Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,976Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity create the primary uncertainty: scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if they develop early, while clearer periods allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Official observations on September 13 reached 31.7°C at the Hong Kong Observatory amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog. Traders appear focused on the timing of any thunderstorms and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Hong Kong Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$10,976Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity create the primary uncertainty: scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if they develop early, while clearer periods allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Official observations on September 13 reached 31.7°C at the Hong Kong Observatory amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog. Traders appear focused on the timing of any thunderstorms and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Hong Kong Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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