Recent forecast models from sources including global ensembles and regional guidance indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 13 under a stable high-pressure regime, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime highs near 28°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat effects and afternoon insolation can push official KMA station readings 1–3°C above broader model means. The market’s emphasis on 31°C as the modal outcome reflects trader weighting of the upper end of ensemble spreads and recent warmer analogs, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on September 13?
31°C 47%
30°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
47%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
47%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including global ensembles and regional guidance indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Busan on September 13 under a stable high-pressure regime, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime highs near 28°C. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat effects and afternoon insolation can push official KMA station readings 1–3°C above broader model means. The market’s emphasis on 31°C as the modal outcome reflects trader weighting of the upper end of ensemble spreads and recent warmer analogs, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact steering flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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