**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 18 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with consensus pointing to 77–79°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.** Persistent Gulf moisture and the absence of any frontal passage are maintaining a warm, humid air mass typical for mid-September, limiting radiative cooling despite sunny daytime conditions and highs near 93–95°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant revisions expected before resolution, aligning trader consensus on the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins as the strongest implied probabilities. Historical September lows average around 73°F, but the current pattern favors milder readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on September 18?
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 30%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 30%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 18 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with consensus pointing to 77–79°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.** Persistent Gulf moisture and the absence of any frontal passage are maintaining a warm, humid air mass typical for mid-September, limiting radiative cooling despite sunny daytime conditions and highs near 93–95°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant revisions expected before resolution, aligning trader consensus on the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins as the strongest implied probabilities. Historical September lows average around 73°F, but the current pattern favors milder readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp