Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
19%
30°C
28%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
11%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$87 KL.
2%
26°C
$13 KL.
1%
27°C
$0 KL.
5%
28°C
$39 KL.
12%
29°C
$5 KL.
19%
30°C
$10 KL.
28%
31°C
$58 KL.
26%
32°C
$23 KL.
13%
33°C
$0 KL.
11%
34°C
$0 KL.
10%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$235Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$235Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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