Recent official and model forecasts for Guangzhou on September 17 point to a daytime high near 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the late-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (45%) and 35°C (32.5%), reflecting expectations that limited cloud cover or brief clearing could allow temperatures to edge toward or above recent daily peaks of 32–34°C observed earlier in the month. Precipitation chances of 25–50% introduce downside risk to the high, while humidity near 60–70% and light southeasterly winds may moderate peak readings. Historical records show 35.6°C as the September 17 maximum, though current steering patterns and model runs favor values closer to the lower end of the favored outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
34°C 45%
35°C 33%
33°C 13%
32°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
13%
34°C
45%
35°C
33%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 33%
33°C 13%
32°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
13%
34°C
45%
35°C
33%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model forecasts for Guangzhou on September 17 point to a daytime high near 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the late-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (45%) and 35°C (32.5%), reflecting expectations that limited cloud cover or brief clearing could allow temperatures to edge toward or above recent daily peaks of 32–34°C observed earlier in the month. Precipitation chances of 25–50% introduce downside risk to the high, while humidity near 60–70% and light southeasterly winds may moderate peak readings. Historical records show 35.6°C as the September 17 maximum, though current steering patterns and model runs favor values closer to the lower end of the favored outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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