Forecast models from multiple sources project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 16 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns closely with the historical September average low of 24.2°C while exceeding the all-time record low of 18.8°C. Trader consensus around the 25°C outcome reflects model agreement on these conditions, yet elevated probabilities for 20°C or below capture uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and potential clearer intervals that could enhance cooling. Upcoming evening observations and refined local model runs will clarify whether cloud cover or wind shifts push the minimum lower than current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 54%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
54%
21°C
3%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
60%
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 54%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
54%
21°C
$0 KL.
3%
22°C
$203 KL.
22%
23°C
$4 KL.
22%
24°C
$4 KL.
22%
25°C
$27 KL.
45%
26°C
$11 KL.
26%
27°C
$18 KL.
23%
28°C
$0 KL.
17%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 16 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns closely with the historical September average low of 24.2°C while exceeding the all-time record low of 18.8°C. Trader consensus around the 25°C outcome reflects model agreement on these conditions, yet elevated probabilities for 20°C or below capture uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and potential clearer intervals that could enhance cooling. Upcoming evening observations and refined local model runs will clarify whether cloud cover or wind shifts push the minimum lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$268Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 16 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns closely with the historical September average low of 24.2°C while exceeding the all-time record low of 18.8°C. Trader consensus around the 25°C outcome reflects model agreement on these conditions, yet elevated probabilities for 20°C or below capture uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and potential clearer intervals that could enhance cooling. Upcoming evening observations and refined local model runs will clarify whether cloud cover or wind shifts push the minimum lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$268Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 16 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. This aligns closely with the historical September average low of 24.2°C while exceeding the all-time record low of 18.8°C. Trader consensus around the 25°C outcome reflects model agreement on these conditions, yet elevated probabilities for 20°C or below capture uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and potential clearer intervals that could enhance cooling. Upcoming evening observations and refined local model runs will clarify whether cloud cover or wind shifts push the minimum lower than current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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