Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 18%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
32%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 18%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
32%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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