**Recent National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a high near 72°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and northerly winds near 10 mph, establishing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–75°F bins.** Cooler air advection behind a frontal passage, reduced insolation from increasing cloud cover, and suppressed lake-breeze warming differentiate these narrow temperature ranges from slightly warmer outcomes. Model consensus remains firm on limited daytime heating compared with the prior day’s mid-80s readings and the September climatological average of roughly 77°F, though minor shifts in timing or coverage of showers could nudge the official high across bin boundaries. Traders will monitor the final NWS forecast updates and any late model adjustments overnight for resolution clarity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 32%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 32%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
2%
68-69°F
$7 KL.
4%
70-71°F
$185 KL.
12%
72-73°F
$137 KL.
32%
74-75°F
$376 KL.
33%
76-77°F
$260 KL.
18%
78-79°F
$48 KL.
5%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
2%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
2%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
2%
86°F or higher
$30 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a high near 72°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and northerly winds near 10 mph, establishing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–75°F bins.**
Cooler air advection behind a frontal passage, reduced insolation from increasing cloud cover, and suppressed lake-breeze warming differentiate these narrow temperature ranges from slightly warmer outcomes. Model consensus remains firm on limited daytime heating compared with the prior day’s mid-80s readings and the September climatological average of roughly 77°F, though minor shifts in timing or coverage of showers could nudge the official high across bin boundaries. Traders will monitor the final NWS forecast updates and any late model adjustments overnight for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,042Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a high near 72°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and northerly winds near 10 mph, establishing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–75°F bins.**
Cooler air advection behind a frontal passage, reduced insolation from increasing cloud cover, and suppressed lake-breeze warming differentiate these narrow temperature ranges from slightly warmer outcomes. Model consensus remains firm on limited daytime heating compared with the prior day’s mid-80s readings and the September climatological average of roughly 77°F, though minor shifts in timing or coverage of showers could nudge the official high across bin boundaries. Traders will monitor the final NWS forecast updates and any late model adjustments overnight for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,042Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a high near 72°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and northerly winds near 10 mph, establishing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–75°F bins.** Cooler air advection behind a frontal passage, reduced insolation from increasing cloud cover, and suppressed lake-breeze warming differentiate these narrow temperature ranges from slightly warmer outcomes. Model consensus remains firm on limited daytime heating compared with the prior day’s mid-80s readings and the September climatological average of roughly 77°F, though minor shifts in timing or coverage of showers could nudge the official high across bin boundaries. Traders will monitor the final NWS forecast updates and any late model adjustments overnight for resolution clarity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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