**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** September’s typical minimums hover around 10°C, but current atmospheric conditions—including high humidity, light winds, and 60–75% precipitation chances—support warmer nighttime temperatures. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights model agreement on a minimum in the low-to-mid 13°C range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes clustered around 13–17°C, reflecting this consensus while acknowledging potential for slightly cooler readings if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
17°C or higher 92%
7°C or below 63%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
63%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
22%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C or higher
92%
17°C or higher 92%
7°C or below 63%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
$0 KL.
63%
8°C
$0 KL.
13%
9°C
$0 KL.
13%
10°C
$0 KL.
13%
11°C
$0 KL.
38%
12°C
$0 KL.
38%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$5 KL.
34%
15°C
$5 KL.
27%
16°C
$0 KL.
21%
17°C or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** September’s typical minimums hover around 10°C, but current atmospheric conditions—including high humidity, light winds, and 60–75% precipitation chances—support warmer nighttime temperatures. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights model agreement on a minimum in the low-to-mid 13°C range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes clustered around 13–17°C, reflecting this consensus while acknowledging potential for slightly cooler readings if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** September’s typical minimums hover around 10°C, but current atmospheric conditions—including high humidity, light winds, and 60–75% precipitation chances—support warmer nighttime temperatures. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights model agreement on a minimum in the low-to-mid 13°C range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes clustered around 13–17°C, reflecting this consensus while acknowledging potential for slightly cooler readings if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** September’s typical minimums hover around 10°C, but current atmospheric conditions—including high humidity, light winds, and 60–75% precipitation chances—support warmer nighttime temperatures. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights model agreement on a minimum in the low-to-mid 13°C range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes clustered around 13–17°C, reflecting this consensus while acknowledging potential for slightly cooler readings if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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