**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 13 point to a daily maximum temperature in the 23–26°C range, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (31.5%).** This reflects the high-elevation subtropical highland climate, where September averages near 25°C under typical conditions, combined with current meteorological patterns during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected afternoon showers or thunderstorms—driven by regional low-pressure systems and moisture influx—limit intense solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent observations show variable precipitation and overcast skies moderating temperatures, consistent with historical analogs for early-to-mid September when convective activity frequently suppresses highs below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential against slight upside if breaks in cloud cover occur, while downside risks from heavier rain keep lower outcomes like 24°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service or global ensembles will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
25°C 52%
26°C 32%
24°C 13%
27°C or higher 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
52%
26°C
32%
27°C or higher
8%
25°C 52%
26°C 32%
24°C 13%
27°C or higher 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
18°C
$0 KL.
<1%
19°C
$0 KL.
<1%
20°C
$0 KL.
1%
21°C
$8 KL.
1%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$31 KL.
5%
24°C
$3 KL.
13%
25°C
$109 KL.
52%
26°C
$475 KL.
32%
27°C or higher
$0 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 13 point to a daily maximum temperature in the 23–26°C range, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (31.5%).**
This reflects the high-elevation subtropical highland climate, where September averages near 25°C under typical conditions, combined with current meteorological patterns during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected afternoon showers or thunderstorms—driven by regional low-pressure systems and moisture influx—limit intense solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent observations show variable precipitation and overcast skies moderating temperatures, consistent with historical analogs for early-to-mid September when convective activity frequently suppresses highs below clear-sky potential.
Traders appear to weigh ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential against slight upside if breaks in cloud cover occur, while downside risks from heavier rain keep lower outcomes like 24°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service or global ensembles will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$626Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 13 point to a daily maximum temperature in the 23–26°C range, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (31.5%).**
This reflects the high-elevation subtropical highland climate, where September averages near 25°C under typical conditions, combined with current meteorological patterns during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected afternoon showers or thunderstorms—driven by regional low-pressure systems and moisture influx—limit intense solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent observations show variable precipitation and overcast skies moderating temperatures, consistent with historical analogs for early-to-mid September when convective activity frequently suppresses highs below clear-sky potential.
Traders appear to weigh ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential against slight upside if breaks in cloud cover occur, while downside risks from heavier rain keep lower outcomes like 24°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service or global ensembles will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$626Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 13 point to a daily maximum temperature in the 23–26°C range, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (31.5%).** This reflects the high-elevation subtropical highland climate, where September averages near 25°C under typical conditions, combined with current meteorological patterns during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected afternoon showers or thunderstorms—driven by regional low-pressure systems and moisture influx—limit intense solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent observations show variable precipitation and overcast skies moderating temperatures, consistent with historical analogs for early-to-mid September when convective activity frequently suppresses highs below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential against slight upside if breaks in cloud cover occur, while downside risks from heavier rain keep lower outcomes like 24°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service or global ensembles will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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