**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 13, 2026, project a daytime high of 32°C under a 60% chance of rain and thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability.** Consistent model guidance from sources including GFS shows afternoon peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds, typical for the southwest monsoon season when cloud cover and precipitation often cap temperatures below seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate limited potential for 33°C or higher without clearer skies, while lower outcomes remain less likely given current steering patterns and moisture. Updated agency briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 13?
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
17%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
$247 KL.
<1%
25°C
$287 KL.
<1%
26°C
$275 KL.
<1%
27°C
$113 KL.
<1%
28°C
$838 KL.
1%
29°C
$445 KL.
3%
30°C
$645 KL.
9%
31°C
$2,270 KL.
26%
32°C
$2,705 KL.
50%
33°C
$1,123 KL.
17%
34°C or higher
$676 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 13, 2026, project a daytime high of 32°C under a 60% chance of rain and thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability.**
Consistent model guidance from sources including GFS shows afternoon peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds, typical for the southwest monsoon season when cloud cover and precipitation often cap temperatures below seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate limited potential for 33°C or higher without clearer skies, while lower outcomes remain less likely given current steering patterns and moisture. Updated agency briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,624Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 13, 2026, project a daytime high of 32°C under a 60% chance of rain and thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability.**
Consistent model guidance from sources including GFS shows afternoon peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds, typical for the southwest monsoon season when cloud cover and precipitation often cap temperatures below seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate limited potential for 33°C or higher without clearer skies, while lower outcomes remain less likely given current steering patterns and moisture. Updated agency briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,624Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 13, 2026, project a daytime high of 32°C under a 60% chance of rain and thunderstorms, directly supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability.** Consistent model guidance from sources including GFS shows afternoon peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds, typical for the southwest monsoon season when cloud cover and precipitation often cap temperatures below seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate limited potential for 33°C or higher without clearer skies, while lower outcomes remain less likely given current steering patterns and moisture. Updated agency briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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