**Manila's overnight minimum temperature on September 13, 2026, is expected in the mid-20s°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the air mass from dropping sharply. Light winds and the urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further moderate overnight lows, with official station readings typically reflecting these influences. Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, WeatherBug, and ECMWF runs show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 24–26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines for the region. The closely matched market odds around 25–27°C reflect trader assessment of these persistent conditions, while the notable probability on 19°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from unusually clear skies or stronger outflow. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of evening rainfall and cloud persistence, which directly affect how much the boundary layer cools before dawn. Official PAGASA or equivalent station data will resolve the market based on the recorded daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 13?
27°C 90%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C 18%
$416 KL.
$416 KL.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 90%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C 18%
$416 KL.
$416 KL.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Manila's overnight minimum temperature on September 13, 2026, is expected in the mid-20s°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the air mass from dropping sharply. Light winds and the urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further moderate overnight lows, with official station readings typically reflecting these influences. Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, WeatherBug, and ECMWF runs show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 24–26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines for the region. The closely matched market odds around 25–27°C reflect trader assessment of these persistent conditions, while the notable probability on 19°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from unusually clear skies or stronger outflow. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of evening rainfall and cloud persistence, which directly affect how much the boundary layer cools before dawn. Official PAGASA or equivalent station data will resolve the market based on the recorded daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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