Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models point to a cool, rainy spring day in Wellington driven by a northerly flow ahead of a front, with persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation limiting solar heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 13–14 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 14 °C and 15 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall, which suppresses temperature rise, and the strength of northerly winds that can advect marginally warmer air from subtropical latitudes. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 15 °C but recent days trending cooler; any late clearing or weaker winds could push readings toward 15 °C while stronger onshore flow would favor 14 °C or below.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
15°C 69%
14°C 26%
16°C 5%
17°C <1%
MỚI
$39,514 KL.
MỚI
$39,514 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
26%
15°C
69%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 69%
14°C 26%
16°C 5%
17°C <1%
MỚI
$39,514 KL.
MỚI
$39,514 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
$261 KL.
<1%
10°C
$194 KL.
<1%
11°C
$449 KL.
<1%
12°C
$8,133 KL.
<1%
13°C
$9,862 KL.
<1%
14°C
$10,581 KL.
26%
15°C
$5,525 KL.
69%
16°C
$2,717 KL.
5%
17°C
$899 KL.
<1%
18°C
$494 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$399 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models point to a cool, rainy spring day in Wellington driven by a northerly flow ahead of a front, with persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation limiting solar heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 13–14 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 14 °C and 15 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall, which suppresses temperature rise, and the strength of northerly winds that can advect marginally warmer air from subtropical latitudes. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 15 °C but recent days trending cooler; any late clearing or weaker winds could push readings toward 15 °C while stronger onshore flow would favor 14 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,514Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models point to a cool, rainy spring day in Wellington driven by a northerly flow ahead of a front, with persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation limiting solar heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 13–14 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 14 °C and 15 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall, which suppresses temperature rise, and the strength of northerly winds that can advect marginally warmer air from subtropical latitudes. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 15 °C but recent days trending cooler; any late clearing or weaker winds could push readings toward 15 °C while stronger onshore flow would favor 14 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$39,514Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models point to a cool, rainy spring day in Wellington driven by a northerly flow ahead of a front, with persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation limiting solar heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 13–14 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 14 °C and 15 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall, which suppresses temperature rise, and the strength of northerly winds that can advect marginally warmer air from subtropical latitudes. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 15 °C but recent days trending cooler; any late clearing or weaker winds could push readings toward 15 °C while stronger onshore flow would favor 14 °C or below.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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