Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converging on a September 17 high near 22°C under persistent rain and northeast winds. Cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating while the front enhances mixing of cooler air, producing an expected range mostly between 19–23°C. This represents a roughly 10°C drop from mid-September norms near 28–30°C and aligns with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges. Updated model runs through September 16 have reinforced this consensus, keeping market-implied odds highest for 21–23°C outcomes while discounting warmer scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
22°C 37%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
13%
21°C
19%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$1,990 KL.
13%
21°C
$1,393 KL.
19%
22°C
$2,511 KL.
37%
23°C
$542 KL.
19%
24°C
$1,142 KL.
12%
25°C
$613 KL.
3%
26°C
$508 KL.
1%
27°C
$133 KL.
<1%
28°C
$253 KL.
<1%
29°C
$263 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$263 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converging on a September 17 high near 22°C under persistent rain and northeast winds. Cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating while the front enhances mixing of cooler air, producing an expected range mostly between 19–23°C. This represents a roughly 10°C drop from mid-September norms near 28–30°C and aligns with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges. Updated model runs through September 16 have reinforced this consensus, keeping market-implied odds highest for 21–23°C outcomes while discounting warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,487Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converging on a September 17 high near 22°C under persistent rain and northeast winds. Cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating while the front enhances mixing of cooler air, producing an expected range mostly between 19–23°C. This represents a roughly 10°C drop from mid-September norms near 28–30°C and aligns with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges. Updated model runs through September 16 have reinforced this consensus, keeping market-implied odds highest for 21–23°C outcomes while discounting warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,487Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the sharp cooldown, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converging on a September 17 high near 22°C under persistent rain and northeast winds. Cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating while the front enhances mixing of cooler air, producing an expected range mostly between 19–23°C. This represents a roughly 10°C drop from mid-September norms near 28–30°C and aligns with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges. Updated model runs through September 16 have reinforced this consensus, keeping market-implied odds highest for 21–23°C outcomes while discounting warmer scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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