**Latest meteorological forecasts position 23–24°C as the most likely peak for Istanbul on September 18, 2026.** Official and model consensus (including GFS-derived data) shows afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with northeast winds of 15–20 km/h limiting further warming and a low chance of light showers moderating daytime temperatures. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Marmara region, where historical mid-September averages hover near 24–26°C but current synoptic patterns favor slightly lower values. Model runs show minimal spread, with no indications of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as resolution approaches, reflecting real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
23°C 53%
24°C 43%
22°C 5%
25°C 4%
$12,412 KL.
$12,412 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
53%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 53%
24°C 43%
22°C 5%
25°C 4%
$12,412 KL.
$12,412 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$108 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,015 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,219 KL.
5%
23°C
$2,764 KL.
53%
24°C
$3,013 KL.
43%
25°C
$1,037 KL.
4%
26°C
$217 KL.
2%
27°C
$100 KL.
<1%
28°C
$127 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,425 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,430 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 23–24°C as the most likely peak for Istanbul on September 18, 2026.** Official and model consensus (including GFS-derived data) shows afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with northeast winds of 15–20 km/h limiting further warming and a low chance of light showers moderating daytime temperatures. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Marmara region, where historical mid-September averages hover near 24–26°C but current synoptic patterns favor slightly lower values. Model runs show minimal spread, with no indications of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as resolution approaches, reflecting real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,412Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 23–24°C as the most likely peak for Istanbul on September 18, 2026.** Official and model consensus (including GFS-derived data) shows afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with northeast winds of 15–20 km/h limiting further warming and a low chance of light showers moderating daytime temperatures. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Marmara region, where historical mid-September averages hover near 24–26°C but current synoptic patterns favor slightly lower values. Model runs show minimal spread, with no indications of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as resolution approaches, reflecting real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,412Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts position 23–24°C as the most likely peak for Istanbul on September 18, 2026.** Official and model consensus (including GFS-derived data) shows afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with northeast winds of 15–20 km/h limiting further warming and a low chance of light showers moderating daytime temperatures. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Marmara region, where historical mid-September averages hover near 24–26°C but current synoptic patterns favor slightly lower values. Model runs show minimal spread, with no indications of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating that could push readings to 25°C or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as resolution approaches, reflecting real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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