Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and GFS-based models indicate Moscow's September 20 maximum will likely reach 20–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Uncertainty in the precise peak stems from variables such as cloud cover modulating daytime heating, exact wind speeds influencing warm-air advection, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. With no significant precipitation or frontal passages expected, traders weigh the balance between modest warming potential and typical early-autumn radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 19%
19°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
13%
18°C
21%
19°C
16%
20°C
35%
21°C
22%
22°C
19%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
9%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 19%
19°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
$207 KL.
<1%
15°C
$111 KL.
<1%
16°C
$163 KL.
2%
17°C
$2 KL.
13%
18°C
$0 KL.
21%
19°C
$22 KL.
16%
20°C
$135 KL.
35%
21°C
$29 KL.
22%
22°C
$0 KL.
19%
23°C
$0 KL.
4%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and GFS-based models indicate Moscow's September 20 maximum will likely reach 20–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Uncertainty in the precise peak stems from variables such as cloud cover modulating daytime heating, exact wind speeds influencing warm-air advection, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. With no significant precipitation or frontal passages expected, traders weigh the balance between modest warming potential and typical early-autumn radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$669Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and GFS-based models indicate Moscow's September 20 maximum will likely reach 20–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Uncertainty in the precise peak stems from variables such as cloud cover modulating daytime heating, exact wind speeds influencing warm-air advection, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. With no significant precipitation or frontal passages expected, traders weigh the balance between modest warming potential and typical early-autumn radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$669Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and GFS-based models indicate Moscow's September 20 maximum will likely reach 20–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading probabilities for those thresholds. Uncertainty in the precise peak stems from variables such as cloud cover modulating daytime heating, exact wind speeds influencing warm-air advection, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. With no significant precipitation or frontal passages expected, traders weigh the balance between modest warming potential and typical early-autumn radiative cooling. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp